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WoT3 - LaserGuy Notes

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114
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-28-2018
03:04 PM ET (US)
My head says Sabrar is the right play, but my heart says lynch BoomFrog.

I don't get this setup at all. Did something go wrong because scum was lynched too quickly?
113
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-22-2018
05:34 PM ET (US)
Hopefully I haven't accidentally thrown the game :P

But, for the record, this:
"I don't think he is scum unless he is Mark's recruit, but:

vote LaserGuy

I'd appreciate it if no one else votes (but do be on at deadline to prevent shenanigans.) That way I can get my secondary win from having a tied vote. I'll still be lynched by the tiebreaker."


Is this scummiest post in the game, even including this one:

I'm the 2nd member of wam's faction, and I'm a rolecop, not a cop (good on everyone who guessed that correctly). I've been trying to work out how the hell this game is balanced, seeing as we only had 2 members vs a ton of town PRs. I think that there's a cult leader in a 8-2-1, who presumably has 2 recruits by now. Seeing as there's only 8 people, if you lynch me, I'm pretty sure town loses, so I'd be very careful about anyone rushing to vote me immediately :P
Edited 08-22-2018 05:34 PM
112
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-22-2018
05:29 PM ET (US)
Not sure about targets tonight. I don't think it really matters unless there's something really unexpected. I may just keep an eye on bessie or something.
111
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-22-2018
05:13 PM ET (US)
I was hoping to see an explosion of activity in GoJoe when the lynch swung to Madge, but the commentators did well to restrain themselves :P
110
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-22-2018
05:12 PM ET (US)
So given that there's no hammer, we have to assume that this lynch will allow us to survive at least one more day phase. Well, at least one more night, I suppose, since it's possible that it could be a game-ending night subject to roleblocks. If there is a cult, Madge is basically guaranteed to be cult leader given the lack of hammer as well.
109
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-22-2018
01:52 PM ET (US)
Well, there's scum in BoomFrog, Sabrar, and Madge for sure. The question is which ones and how many.

If there's cult, Madge basically has to be leader at this point or there would have been a hammer. If she's Town then we're probably back in the lone mafia or SK scenario.
108
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-21-2018
07:36 PM ET (US)
Okay... hypothesis testing time. Suppose Madge is cult leader. Further suppose that Madge can target other abilities independently of her recruit.

N1: Madge may have targeted Vicarin on the grounds that he's a cop, using the ter'angrael to hide her action.
N2: Madge targeted bessie. This is a bad choice given the game state, but is a way of looking townie if she is observed.
--Did not target Vicarin, obviously.
--Did not target heury.
--Did not target me.
--Possible that Madge targeted BoomFrog upon receiving his power.
--Probably not Sabrar as he's VT at this stage.
--Probably not Mark as Madge is voting for him.
--Probably did not target bessie
--mpolo is unknown

N3:
--Madge had to target Sabrar. Otherwise cult wins as soon as Sabrar claims survivor.
107
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-21-2018
07:02 PM ET (US)
I am wondering if I should have stuck to my original plan and targeted Mark last night.
106
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-21-2018
06:42 PM ET (US)
....

That is such a strange vote from BoomFrog.

Like, there's no way I'm getting lynched today except via shenanigans. But OTOH, that doesn't feel like a vote of scum giving up (although it is BoomFrog who I have to assume can fake his tone pretty well).
105
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-20-2018
03:55 AM ET (US)
Trying to decide if BoomFrog was either transparently scummy because he's mafia with Vic/wam, or if he is cult and knew they (or at least one of them) was mafia and was sort of tacitly trying to support them because it's not in his interests for mafia to be wiped out so easily.

Either way I'm like 90% on BoomFrog here.

bessie, Mark, mpolo are all cleared as Town.

Madge is Town if BoomFrog is mafia. Otherwise they're co-aligned.

Sabrar probably is what he says he is.
104
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-16-2018
12:19 PM ET (US)
Hmm... I wonder if I should be actually targeting BoomFrog tonight to see if he is jailed. That might make more sense.
103
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-15-2018
05:36 PM ET (US)
Haven't even thought of it, but I will be disappointed if I lose my secondary because Madge got culted and will be obliged to vote for me tomorrow.
102
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-15-2018
05:35 PM ET (US)
Okay, so Mark is not cult either. Good to know. We're probably in the two-cultist scenario or the one mafia scenario.
101
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-15-2018
05:26 PM ET (US)
If BoomFrog is mafia he may try to withhold tonight in hopes of getting a mislynch. I'm not sure that there would be a lot of merit to that play from his point of view, but the number of candidates for mafia that aren't him is very small.
100
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-15-2018
05:21 PM ET (US)
Regardless, I should watch Mark.
99
LaserGuyPerson was signed in when posted
08-15-2018
05:20 PM ET (US)
Assuming we are in the three cultist scenario and mpolo can actually block BoomFrog before Madge can block him, then the last cultist is coinflip Mark or Sabrar.
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