They are, I suspect, going to be able to get out of a lot of that money. It's tied to all sorts of things which aren't going to happen, and renegotiation is a big political deal, right now.
The funny part is, it's going to
delay the development of
Flash-OFDM because the Flarion solution is actually so good (IMHO!) that it will bail the European Governments out of refunds, if they let the operators switch to that instead of WCDMA. So the operators aren't going to make it easy for them by agreeing right away. Foot dragging noises will be heard!